My buyers are still experiencing multiple offer situations with all of the available listings here on the San Francisco peninsula, especially with homes that are priced under $500,000. They are getting frustrated and some have stopped searching all together. All I can say is to hang in there and something will come your way. This is still the best time to buy something while interest rates and home prices are still low. Multiple offers will continue if the inventory continues to be scarce. There might be some relief soon as banks start to release their huge shadow inventory. It is estimated that there is more then a million homes that are being held. Will this HELP? I hope so.
Home sales have declined in some areas and its due to high demand, low interest rates and a shortage of homes to buy. This creates a change in the market place. Not good for buyers but good for sellers.
Buyers around the bay area are going to be happy to see more homes on the market. Currently homes that are under $400,000 are experiencing a seller’s market. Most sellers are receiving multiple offers for their home. Every home that I have made offers for my clients have had more then 1 offer. One house in Hayward had 18 to 20 offers. Another house in San Bruno had 6 offers. My listing in So. San Francisco received 2 offers above the asking price, right after my open house, and 1 was all cash. My other listing in Pacifica received 8 offers, all over the asking price. It’s like that all over the Bay Area. It’s pretty discouraging for buyers today.
Maybe there is some relief coming soon. There is a shadow inventory due to be release around summer. I hope this will help the buyers that are trying to get into their home.
In the past few weeks the real estate market showed multiple signs of a rebound of some sort. In 20 metropolitan areas prices rose 0.2% in August but were still down 3.8% year over year. This may all change soon. In September, pending sales were down 4.6%. Could this be another beginning of a triple dip? With Freddie Mac requesting for another $6 billion of your tax money and holding about 60,000 REOs from the market, which will take approx. 15 years to sell off, I don’t think our country’s rebound in a lot of areas will happen anytime soon and hope that the triple dip is not too severe.
Some help is on the way. The Federal Housing Financing Agency is trying to help change the market. They are making a few changes to the Home Affordable Refinancing Program to attract more borrowers and stimulate the mortgage industry and helping more homeowners. The National Association of REALTORS are also concerned with the state of our real estate market and has a 5 point plan that could get us out of this triple dip situation and stabilize the market. With any change, it will take a while for the changes to make a difference. Let’s hope that it won’t be too long.
As we are getting into the last quarter of the year, San Francisco and the Bay Area have gone through a lot of changes. They could be good or bad depending on how you look at it. As I have mentioned on another post, what will the city be like in the next 5 years? I believe it should be at a point of recovery. We’ll see.
The economy has driven our home values down and there is no end in site. Many areas in the nation has experienced major price reductions. Not all areas have been hit but California has 6 areas that had the largest drop in value out of the top 10 areas nationwide. The prices have decreased more then 60% from 5 years ago. This situation will not get any better anytime soon due to the 1,000,000+ foreclosures that the banks are holding this year and another 1,000.000+ foreclosures in next 2 years. It will take a few years to sell off all of the phantom inventory before any appreciation can be realized in these areas.
With all of the budget problems we are going through, how will it affect interest rates? Well according to NAR Chief Economist Lawrence Yun, rates may increase however, there are other factors that could keep rates down.
Right now the rates have hit an all time low, 4.15%, and will stay low for another 2 years. This is due to the faltering economy. Although rates are at a all time low, sales of homes fell last month by 3.5% compared to the same time last year.
This is an excellent time for buyers to purchase their home.
If you think we’re the only country facing problems, then you haven’t been paying attention to our other neighbors in Europe. They are experiencing economical problems as well!! In fact, their problems do help our country but it could be a sign of what can happen to the U.S..
If we can’t stop our spending and fix our current problems, we will be creating an economical monster for our children. This beast will not be easily defeated. As our problem debtors become larger (the beast), the REO housing inventory becomes larger, and will take more time to be sold off.
Although home sales have increased, the prices have decreased in 118 markets across the country. Prices have declined approx. 7.5% in March from a year ago. This is the eighth straight month of declining prices. So what’s keeping the sales going? I believe that the low interest rates and affordable prices are keeping sales alive.
San Francisco is showing signs of recovery along with San Mateo county. With gas prices continuing to rise, many buyers are moving back to big cities where they don’t have to use their car. This may be one reason why San Francisco has been experiencing a brisk recovery.
Bank owned inventory nationally grew to a record high of 2.2 million in March and foreclosures starts increased by 33% month over month. This may sound bad but foreclosure sales have increased and delinquencies are down by 11% which is the lowest since 2008.
Pending sales have increased which is a good sign that the demand is strong and the inventory will decrease hopefully faster then any increase. The U.S. is expected to add at least 750,000 new households in 2011 which is a healthy demand. A lot of these new homeowners are a result of lower home prices that are cheaper to buy then to rent, low interest rates, and more confidence in the recovery of the economy.
“The good news is that recent home buyers are staying well within budget, leading to exceptionally low loan default rates among home buyers over the past two years,” Yun added.
Home sales rose slightly last month. This is the sixth month in a row that home sales have increased. Lawrence Yun, NAR chief economist, says “We’re clearly on a recovery path”. This is a good sign and sales should continue to increase.
There are all types of buyers out taking advantage of the market. First time buyers purchased 33% of homes sold in March and all cash buyers purchased 35% of the homes sold, for example. With the market current market conditions, it makes more sense to purchase a property then renting.
