Bank owned inventory nationally grew to a record high of 2.2 million in March and foreclosures starts increased by 33% month over month. This may sound bad but foreclosure sales have increased and delinquencies are down by 11% which is the lowest since 2008.
Pending sales have increased which is a good sign that the demand is strong and the inventory will decrease hopefully faster then any increase. The U.S. is expected to add at least 750,000 new households in 2011 which is a healthy demand. A lot of these new homeowners are a result of lower home prices that are cheaper to buy then to rent, low interest rates, and more confidence in the recovery of the economy.
“The good news is that recent home buyers are staying well within budget, leading to exceptionally low loan default rates among home buyers over the past two years,” Yun added.
Home sales rose slightly last month. This is the sixth month in a row that home sales have increased. Lawrence Yun, NAR chief economist, says “We’re clearly on a recovery path”. This is a good sign and sales should continue to increase.
There are all types of buyers out taking advantage of the market. First time buyers purchased 33% of homes sold in March and all cash buyers purchased 35% of the homes sold, for example. With the market current market conditions, it makes more sense to purchase a property then renting.
If you plan to purchase a home in the near future, you might want to speed up the process in order to have 3.5% of your closing cost paid by Fannie Mae. That’s right, Fannie Mae is trying to decrease their inventory of REOs. If you close on a HomePath property by June 30, 2011, you’ll be able to save 3.5% of the purchase price in closing cost. So act now!!!!
The California Housing Finance Agency (CalHFA) is administering $2 billion in federal funds for borrowers who are at risk of losing their homes. Borrowers who took out loans after January 1, 2009 are eligible for 4 different programs as long as the property is a primary resident, meet income requirements, and face a documented financial hardship.
The four programs are the following:
- The Unemployment Mortgage Assistance Program (UMA) which will help homeowners with their mortgage payments.
- The Mortgage Reinstatement Assistance Program (MRAP) which provides funds for homeowners who have fallen behind in their payments
- The Transition Assistance Program which provides relocation assistance
- The Principal Reduction Program (PRP) which provides funds to reduce the outstanding principal balance.
GMAC, Guild Mortgage, CalHFA, and California Dept. of Veterans Affairs are the organization that offers all 4 programs.
There are about 78,000 homes that are either vacant and for sale, or under construction. This is an improvement and with a normal level of buying, the homes would sell in 2 1/2 months. The study shows that there is a housing shortage brewing. If this happens, then it would change the market to a seller’s market and buyers will have a hard time purchasing again. The market today is still considered a buyer’s market and there are more bargain hunters out looking for deals. More investors are also very active making all cash purchases. There are 6 cities that are considered to be cheaper then renting the same house. All this may be history if unemployment rises, which it is decreasing today, interest rates continue to rise and become non deductible.
For the third month in a row, mortgage lates, 90 days or more, have declined. This could be another sign of recovery. With fewer defaults, the inventory level of REOs and short sales should go down as well. Could this be the bottom or is it a double dip situation. Only time will provide us with an answer. Either way, now is still a good time to purchase real estate.
In the coming months San Francisco will experience an increase in closed sales because the number of pending sales has increased by 8.9% which represents 2.6 months of the current supply of homes. If supplies continue to decrease and demand stays strong, maybe a seller’s market might be on the horizon.
The market will change if employment increases and interest rates stays affordable. However, if more distressed homes come on the market, we may not see a market shift for a long time or we may see a double dip in prices.
Home sales have fallen in February and is normal for a uneven recovery. According to Lawrence Yun, NAR chief economist, even though properties are more affordable and the economy is improving, we will continue to see a rocky recovery as long as we have problems with tight credit and lower prices.
In January, pending home sales declined however, the data is based on contracts signed in January not closings. According to Lawrence Yun, NAR Chief Economist, “The housing market is healing with sales fluctuating at times, depending on the flow of distressed properties coming on the market,” he said. He expects the recovery will be a straight upward path because there is still an elevated level of shadow inventory of distressed homes and interest rates are still historically low.
According to the Wall Street Journal, there are plenty of signs that the housing market finally bottoming out. If investors and buyers continue to take advantage of the most affordable housing in decades, prices will probably bottom out in 2011.
With January increase of home sales, it could be a sign that things maybe turning around. Property sales increased 2.7%, nationally, and represents the first time in 7 months that sales were higher then a year ago. 23% of the sales were by investors and there was an increase of all cash purchases representing the highest level ever.
Even though we are having economic problems, it is still a great time to purchase a property. Interest rates are still pretty low and there are plenty of inventory. This will change, but when? Why not get something now and grow with your investment. If you are ready, here are 5 affordable areas and 5 very expensive areas. No matter where you go, the prices are definitely less then the were in 2007.
Sales in San Francisco has been steady and returning to a healthy pace. Sales rose by 20.7% from a year ago, January 2010.
Don’t miss this great opportunity to realize your dream of owning your own home. You might be surprised to know that it could be cheaper or as much as your rent.
